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ASRNL:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMASR Nederland N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

€58.02

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The share price is trading close to a key support level, with the 20‑day moving average sitting just above the current price and the 50‑day average slightly higher, indicating a narrow technical cushion. The RSI sits in the lower‑mid range, suggesting the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence that points to short‑term downside pressure. Volatility over the past month is moderate and the beta is low, meaning price swings are muted relative to the broader market, and trading volume has remained stable, supporting liquidity.
Fundamentally, the company delivers double‑digit revenue growth and strong gross and operating margins, positioning it well within the insurance sector. However, the dividend yield is exceptionally high and the payout ratio exceeds one, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Debt levels are elevated relative to equity, yet the forward price‑to‑earnings multiple is markedly lower than the trailing multiple and well beneath the industry average, implying significant valuation upside. Analyst consensus is bullish with a target price well above the current level, suggesting a mid‑term rally potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price near support level
  • Stable volume but limited upside in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE compression relative to peers
  • Analyst target price indicating notable upside
  • Solid revenue growth and margin profile

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified insurance and asset‑management franchise
  • Potential for earnings expansion as the market re‑rates
  • Resilient dividend yield if payout policy is adjusted

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.20%
Profit Margin3.15%
P/E Ratio24.9
ROE5.66%
ROA2.99%
Debt/Equity88.05
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.1
Support€56.12
Resistance€63.64
MA 20€60.15
MA 50€60.77
MA 200€58.66
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price€66.94
Upside/Downside15.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility19.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.